FuturesCom Investment Publications
Bi-Weekly Investment Outlook, Saturday August 25th, 2001
Socio Economics, Stock Index Futures: SP500 - Dow Jones Industrial Avg- Nasdaq
Bonds-Forex-Energy-Precious Metals-Livestock-Grain and Soft Commodity Future Markets
Bi-Weekly Investment Outlooks & Archives Index Flashes Morning Comments Special Reports
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“What the Wise do in the Beginning, Fools do in the End “
-Warren Buffett -
Saturday August 25th, 2001
9:00 AM
Stock and Bond Markets
Sept SP500
Nearby Resistance is at 1192, while sellers should appear near 1197.5 to 1203,
An extended trade over or close over is friendly and augurs for an eventual test of 1217.5 and the 1232 to 1238 region..
That Ole' Copper local who heads the Federal Reserve while cutting rates seven times has kept the ‘presses’ running all night. Thus, increasing money supply this year comparable to 1982.. Corporations, while still being severely punished by the market for their follies of past are becoming lean and mean with rapid re-structuring to ensure profitability in attempts to quell the assault on their existence….
These are seeds bull markets come from….
In addition ..Traders who were buying the highs with reckless abandon in the face of interest rate increases are now generally selling with the same vigor in the face of rate decreases into what may very well be strong hands. (An isolated example of this is evident by the recent announcement of Warren Buffets purchases, purchases he is not likely to exit anytime soon.)
One should not rule out a test of 1253 and eventually the 1274 to 1278 region if it holds.
Aggressive traders should go long if a close over 1217.50 occurs.
Nearby Support should appear near 1180.5 and 1169 to 1164 , which should contain a decline basis the close.. an extended trade under is negative and augurs for a test of 1150 then1136 to 1130 while buyers should appear near the 1101 to 1096 region..
Trade Accordingly and Stay Tuned for Updates
Dow Jones Industrial Avg
Nearby Resistance should appear near 10,425 and 10,470, beyond that a test of the 10,580 to 10,680 region is likely. A close over 10,680 is friendly and augurs for an eventual test of 10,820 and the 10,960 to 11,010 region.
Nearby Support is at 10,415 under that buyers should appear near the 10,360 to 10,320 region.. Below that support should appear near 10,255 and 10,185 and the 10,136 to 10,104 region… Under that 10,037 to 10,031 should contain a sell off basis the close …
Dec Bonds
Resistance should appear near 104-23 then 105-17 and 105-24 Beyond that a test of
106-04 and the 106-12 region is likely.
Support is at 104-01 failure there augurs for a test of 103-17.. Below that support is at 103-07 and 102-23, traders can buy at 102-23 and risk a close under 102-06 for three days in a row. Under that support should appear near 101-19 and 101-11..
The Frenzied Forex Front
Support should appear near 8314 to 8300 a slip under augurs for a test of 8264 and eventually 8223 to 8194 which should contain a decline for a bit.. Traders can buy at 8194 for a bounce risk a close under 8159 for three days in a row ..Under that 8134 to 8119 should hold.
Nearby Resistance should appear near 8351.and 8391 to 8406…Beyond that resistance should appear near the 8484 to 8499 region.. Above that sellers should cap a rally near the 8560 to 8589 region… Traders can sell at 8560 and risk a close over 8591 for three days in a row…
Stay Tuned for Updates…
Support is at 9100 and the 9060 to 9044 region.. a slip under augurs for a test of 9004
Below that buyers should appear near 8964 to 8934.. and the 8871 to 8856 region..
Traders can buy at 8871 and risk a close under 8814 for three days in a row..
Resistance is at should appear near 9140 to 9156..Beyond sellers should appear near 9234 and the 9317 to 9347 region.. Beyond that resistance is at 9429 to 9445.. Traders can sell at 9428 and risk a close over 9469 for three days in a row..
Traders should go short if a close under 9100 occurs..
Stay tuned for Updates…
Sept Swiss Franc
Resistance should appear near 6023 to 6035, beyond that sellers should appear near 6101 to 6113 and the 6165 to 6190 region.
Support should appear near 5990, a close under 5990 augurs for a test of 5957 to 5945..Below that support should appear near 5912 and the 5880 to 5855 region.
Stay tuned for Flashes and Updates .
Sept British Pound
Support should appear near 1.4368 and 1.4290 . A slip under augurs for a test of 1.4210 to 1.4150 .. Traders can buy at 1.4120 and risk a close under 1.4140 for three days in a row..
Resistance is at 1.4530 to 1.4590 region Beyond that resistance is at 1.4710 and the
1.4840 to 1.4960 region.. Traders can sell at 1.4830 and hold for lower prices..
Trade accordingly and stay tuned for flashes
Sept Canadian Dollar
Support should appear at 6483… below that buyers should appear near the 6430 to 6417 region. Traders can buy at 6430 for a bounce and risk a close under 6417 for three days in a row.. Under that 6350 to 6337 should contain a decline..
Resistance is at 6494 to 6509, an extended trade over is friendly and augurs for an eventual test of the 6577 to 6591 region.. Beyond that a test of the 6659 to 6672 region is likely.
Trade Accordingly and Stay tuned for FuturesCom's Forex Flashes
Precious Metals
Dec Gold
Support should appear near 274.1 , under that support is at 272.4 to 271.6.
A close under 271.6 is negative and augurs for a test of 269.4 and 267.2 to 266.3.
Traders can buy at 269.4 and risk a close under 266.3 for three days in a row.
Resistance is at 275.8 to 277.4 and the 282 to 282.9 region. Beyond that sellers should appear near 287.4 to 288. Beyond that a test of 292.8 to 293.7 is likely.
Traders should go long if a close over 277.4 occurs…
Trade Accordingly and tuned for updates..
Dec Copper
Support should appear near 6835 to 6805 and the 6755 to 6740 region.. Below that 6670 to 6655 should contain a decline for a bit ,,Traders can buy at 6835 and risk a close under 6655 for three days in a row.. Under that buyers should appear near the 6590 to 6570 region.. Below that 6510 to 6480 should hold
Resistance should appear near 6990to 7005, a close over is friendly and augurs for a test of 7075 to 7090 and eventually 7140 to 7170.. .. Beyond that sellers should appear near 7240 to 7255 and Cap a rally for a bit..
Dec Silver
Support should appear near 418.5 to 416 and 412 to 411 which should contain a decline for, a bit.. Below that buyers should appear near 405.5 to 404.5 Traders can buy at 404.5 and risk a close under 398 for three days in a row.
Resistance is at 425. A close over 425.5 is friendly and augurs for a test of 430 to 431.5.. Beyond that a test of 437 to 438 and eventually the 442.5 to 444.5 region is likely
Trade Accordingly and stay tuned for Flashes
Exciting Energies
Oct Crude
Resistance is at 2716 to 2724 .. Beyond that a test of 2758 to 2775.and the 2820 to 2829 region is likely.. Above that resistance is at 2874 to 2883 and 2928 to 2937.
Traders can sell at 2928 and risk a close over 2990 for three days in a row..
Support is at 2672 to 2662 and the 2620 to 2612 region.. Below that buyers should appear near 2568 to 2552… Under that a test of 2519 to 2511 and eventually 2469 to 2461 is likely .. Traders can buy at 2470 and risk a close under 2411 for three days n a row
Oct Unleaded Gas
Support should appear near 7690 to 7670, a close under augurs for a test of 7605 to 7580 and the 7515 to 7485 region.. Below that support is at 7345 to 7325 and the 7255 to 7245 region. Under that buyers should appear near 7170 to 7140 and the 7005 to 6990 region , which should contain a decline..
Resistance is at the 7765 to 7780 region Above that resistance is at 7835 to 7865 and the 7940 to 7955 region. Beyond that resistance should appear near 8030 to 8045 and the 8120 to 8135 region.. above that sellers should appear near 8195 to 8225 and the 8300 to 8315 region.. Traders can sell at 8195 for a turn lower .. Risk a close over 8315 for three days in a row.
Stay tuned for Updates ..
Oct Heating Oil
Resistance is at 7515 then 7585 to 7605 and the 7675 to 7690 region.. Beyond that resistance should appear near the 7765 to 7780 region.. Above sellers should appear near and the 8025 to 8045 region and cap a rally…
Support should appear near 7430 to 7415 and the 7345 to 7325 region. A close under 7325 is negative and augurs for a test of 7170 to 7140 .. Below that support is at 7005 to 6990.. and the 6835 to 6805 region ..Traders can buy at 6835 and risk a close under
6655 for three days in a row…
The ‘Grand’ Grains
Resistance is at 484 1/2 485 3/4 a close over is friendly and augurs for a test of
497 1/2 to 499 and the 503 1/2 to 506 1/2 region .. Beyond that resistance is at
512 to 514.
Nearby Support should appear near 477 1/2 and 471 1/2 to 469 1/2 Below that buyers should appear near 465 to 463 3/4 and contain a decline… Traders can buy
at 465 1/4 and risk a close under 457 for three days in a row.
Aggressive Traders should go long if a close over 485 3/4 occurs
Stay tuned for Updates
Dec Soy Meal
Resistance should appear near the 164.2 to 165.5 and 168.9 to 169.6 . Beyond that a trade towards the 173.1 to 173.8 region is likely.
Support is at 160.9.. Below that support should appear near 157.6 to 156 and the 153.5 to 152.9 region
Dec Soybean Oil
Support is near 1738 to 1731 and 1696 to 1689.
Resistance should appear near the 1780. Beyond that sellers should appear near 1808 to 1822 and the 1858 to 1863 region.. .Above that 1902 to 1909 should cap a rally for a bit..
Dec Corn
Resistance should appear near 231 ½ to 232 ¼ and the 235 1/2 to 237 region.. Beyond that sellers should appear near 241 1/4 to 241 3/4 and the 246 to 246 region. Above that a test of 251 ½ to 252 is likely
Support should appear near 2271/2 to 226 3/4…Under that 222 3/43 to 221 3/4 should contain a decline .Below that support is at 218 1/2 to 217
Dec Wheat
Support should appear near 288 1/4 to 287 and the 282 3/4 to 282 region.. Under that 277 1/2 to 275 3/4 should contain a decline.. Below that buyers should appear near
272 1/2 to 271 3/4 and contain a decline.
Resistance is at 292 3/4 to 293 ¾ and the 297 3/4 to 299 region .. Beyond that a test of 303 3/4 to 304 1/2 and the 309 to 310 1/4 region is likely to occur…
Stay Tune for Updates and Flashes..
Dec Cotton
Support should appear near 3865 to 3855 then 3805 to 3795 and 3745 to 3730.
Below that buyers should appear near 3625 to 3615 and 3565 to 3550..
Resistance is at 3910 to 3920 and the 4045 to 4055 region.. Beyond that sellers should appear near 4110 to 4120 and 4235 to 4245
Dec Coffee
Support is near the 5430 to 5415 then 5355 to 5345 and the 5280 to 5260 region. . Below that support is at 5070 to 5035..
Resistance should appear near 5490 to 5505 .. Beyond that a test of 5640 to 5655 is likely .. A close over 5655 is friendly and augurs for a test of 5855 to 5880 ..Beyond
that resistance is at 6035 to 6035 .
Stay tuned for updates…
Oct Sugar
Resistance should appear near 836 and the 847 to 852 region. Which should cap a rally for a bit.. Traders can sell at 847 and risk a close over 855 for three days in a row..
Beyond that sellers should appear near 877 to 882
Support should appear near 823 to 814 and 795 to 791
Dec Cocoa
Support is at the 972 to 968 region.. Under that support should appear near 941 to 932 and the 912 to 907 region , which should contain a decline basis the close . . Traders can buy at 942 and risk a close under 907 for three days in a row.
Resistance should appear near 1000 to 1005 and 1032 to 1036.. Beyond that resistance is at 1058 to1068 and the 1096 to 1101 region.. Traders can sell at 1096 and risk a close over 1137 for three days in a row.
Oct Cattle
Nearby Support should appear near 7257 to 7242 and the 7172 to 7137 region.
Below that buyers should appear near 7087 to 7072
Resistance is at 7327 to 7342 , a close over 7342 is friendly and augurs for a test of 7412 to 7427 and the 7487 to 7512 region.. Traders can sell at 7487 and risk a close over 7557 for three days in a row. Beyond that 67587 to 7602 should cap a rally..
Support is at the 5880 to 5855 region… Below that support is at 5805 to 5790 and the 5732 to 5717 region.. Traders can buy at 5732 and risk a close under 5717 for three days in a row.. Below that buyers should appear near 5652 to 5637 and the
5577 to 5552 region
Beyond that resistance should appear near 6167 to 6192 and the 6257 to 6270 region
Stay Tuned for updates
Support is at the 5507 to 5492 and the 5432 to 5417 region… Below that support is at 5357 to 5342 and the 5282 to 5257 region.. Traders can buy at 5282 and risk a close under 5197 for three days in a row.. Below that buyers should appear near 5212 to 5202 and the 5142 to 5127 region
Beyond that resistance should appear near 5792 to 5807.. Above that a test of 5855 to 5880 Beyond that sellers should appear near 5942 to 5957 … Traders can sell at 5942 for a turn lower and hold for lower prices..
Traders should go long if a close over 5577 occurs..
Support should appear near 7957 to 7937 then 7867 to 7837 and 7687 to 7672.. Under that support should appear near the 7602 to 7587 region .. Below that Buyers should appear near 7342 to 7322 and the 7172 to 7142 region.
Resistance is at 8027 to 8047 and the 8192 to 8227 region.. Beyond that sellers should appear near 8392 to 8407 and the 8762 to 8777 region.
Stay tuned for Livestock Updates and Flashes
--A ship in Harbor is Safe.. But that's not what ships are built for --
Happy Trading !
Saturday August 25th, 2001
2:35 PM
THIS PUBLICATION CONTAINS THE VIEW AND OPINIONS OF THE AUTHOR, EXCEPT WHERE OPINIONS ARE ATTRIBUTED TO OTHER SOURCES. WRITTEN PERMISSION IS REQUIRED PRIOR TO ANY DISTRIBUTION OR REPRODUCTION. FUTURES TRADING ARE RISKY AND CAN CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL FINANCIAL LOSS. THE USE OF OPTIONS AND OPTION TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK. THE USE OF STOPS MAY NOT LIMIT LOSSES TO INTENDED AMOUNTS. SPREAD POSITIONS MAY NOT BE LESS RISKY THAN OUTRIGHT FUTURES POSITIONS. PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. SOURCES ARE BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE BUT NO ASSURANCE IS MADE FOR ACCURACY. ADDITIONAL RISK DISCLOSURE IS AVAILABLE.
Bi Weekly Investment Outlook (BW)
Archives: http://www.futurescom.com/bwparc.htm
Recommended Open positions as of 8-24-2001
Long Dec Coffee 5305
Long Dec Soymeal 165.5
Short Sept Japanese Yen 8350
Short Sept Swiss 5945
Long Sept Canadian Dollar 6547
Long Dec Corn 227 3/4
Long Sept Silver 426.5
Long Oct Hogs 5962
Long Oct Cattle 7342
Long Dec Wheat 291 3/4
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Morning Comments (MC)
Archives: http://www.futurescom.com/mcper01.html
Recommended Open positions : none
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Premier Service
http://www.futurescom.com/premier.htm
Recommended Open Positions as of 8-24-2001
Short 15 Sept Swiss Franc 5950 avg.
Short 10 Sept EC 9140
Long 20 Dec Wheat 287
Long 20 Dec Soymeal 168.4 avg.
Long 10 Nov Beans 498
Long 5 Dec Coffee 5500
Long 10 Dec Corn 227 3/4
Long 5 Dec Gold 278.4
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Index Program
Archives: http://www.futurescom.com/index01.htm
Recommended Open position.
none
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