"If a man is both wise and lucky , he will not make the same = mistake twice. But he will make any one of the ten thousand brothers or cousins of the original. The mistake family is so large that there is always one of  them  around."--Jesse Livermore--

Saturday, November 14, 1998

11/14/98 7:40:23 AM

On the Frenzied Forex Front

Dec. Japanese-Yen

Early Support is 8177 and 8144 traders can buy at 8145 = for=20 bounce. Risk a close under 8119 for three days in a row. Below that = buyers=20 should appear near 8044 to 8029. Hearty Traders can buy at 8044 for a = good turn=20 higher, risk a close under 8044 for two days in a row. If that fails a = decline=20 to 7954 to 7939 under that 7864 to 7836 should hold. Traders can go long = at 7864=20 and hold for higher prices.

Resistance is at 8194 to 8223 then 8244. A close over = 8244 is=20 friendly and augurs for a test of the 8300 to 8314 region. Beyond that=20 resistance is at 8391 to 8406 and 8484 to 8499 Traders should sell short = at 8484=20 for a turn lower, risk a close over 8499 for three days in a row. Beyond = that=20 resistance is at 8560 to 8589, traders should sell short at 8572, = initially plan=20 on risking risk a close over 8611.

*Traders should go long if a close over 8223 = occurs..

Dec. D-Mark Recommended position long at 5998

Resistance is at 5951 to 5957 and 5968. A close over 5968 = augurs for=20 a test of 6023 to 6035. A close over 6035 is friendly and indicates a = test of=20 6101 to 6113. Traders should sell short at 6113 for a quick turn lower. = Risk a=20 close over 6165. Beyond that a test of 6190 to 6201 is likely. Day = traders can=20 sell short at 6190 for a turn lower, risk 30 pts. Support is at = 5945 and=20 5926 to 5918. Below that support is at 5908 and 5880 to 5855. Hearty = traders can=20 buy at 5880 and hold for higher prices.

*Traders should consider going long if a close over 5957 occurs.=20

Dec. Swiss recommended position long at 7342.

Resistance is at 7242 to 7256 then 7277. A close over 7277 = augurs for=20 a likely test of the 7328 to 7242 region. Beyond that resistance is at = 7377 and=20 7414 to 7428. Traders can sell short at 7414, risk a close over 7428 for = three=20 days in a row.

Traders should consider going long if a close over 7242 = occurs.

Support is at 7227 and 7207 then 7177 to 7170. Hearty = Day=20 traders can Buy at 7170, risk a close under 7143 for two days in a row. = Below=20 that support is at 7128. Traders can buy at 7128 for a turn higher, risk = a close=20 under 7088 for two days in a row.

Trade Accordingly

Dec. British Pound

Support is at 1.6580 and 1.6550 then 1.6502 and 1.6452 to = 1.6420=20 Traders should buy at 1.6550 and hold for higher prices, risking a close = under=20 1.6420 for three days in a row. Below that support is at 1.6260 and = 1.6150=20

Resistance is at 1.6636 and 1.6656. A close over 1.6656 augurs = for a test=20 of 1.6720 beyond that sellers should appear at 1.6822 and 1.6890. A = close over=20 1.6890 augurs for a test of 1.6960, traders can short at 1.6960, risk a = close=20 over 1.7110 for two days in a row. Beyond that 1.7310 to 1.7380 should = cap a=20 rally for now. Traders can sell short at 1.7310 risk a close over 1.7400 = for two=20 days in a row.

* Aggressive Traders should consider going long using 1.6638 buy = stop

Dec. Canadian Dollar

Nearby Support is at 6430 and 6422 to 6417. Traders can buy = at 6418=20 for a bounce. Risk a close under 6402 for three days in a row. Below = that=20 support is at 6367 and 6350 to 6337 then 6272 to 6257. Traders can go = long at=20 6272 and hold for higher prices, initially risking a close under 6257 = for three=20 days in a row.


Resistance is at 6456 and 6469 then 6482 to 6509 and 6517. = A close=20 over 6517 is friendly and augurs for a test of 6577 to 6591. A close = over 6591=20 augurs for a test of 6623 and 6687 beyond that a thrust to 6741 to 6755 = is=20 likely.

Traders should go long if a close over 6517 occurs.

Trade accordingly.

 

Precious Metals

Dec. Gold Recommended position Long at 294.80

Support is at 295.20 and the 293.70 to 292.80 region. A = close under=20 292.80 augurs for a test of 290.60. Traders can Buy at 290.40 and risk a = close=20 under 287.40 for three days in a row.

Resistance is at 297.70 and 299.00. A close over 297.70 is = friendly=20 and would indicate a test of 301.80 and 303.60 if it holds.

**Traders should go long/ add if a close over 297.70=20 occurs.

Dec. Copper: Recommended position long at 7115

Nearby Support is at 7005 to 6990. Below that support is at 6905 = and 6855=20 to 6800.

Resistance is at 7205 and 7255. A close over 7255 augurs for = a test=20 of 7405.

Trade accordingly..

Jan. Platinum

Support is at 347.50 then 344.5 and 342 where it should hold = basis=20 the close. Below that support is at 329 and 327. Traders can go long at = 344.5,=20 risk a close under 337 for two days in a row. Resistance is at = 349.50 to=20 350.30 and 352.5. However a close over 350.50 augurs for a test of 357 = to 362.=20 Beyond that resistance is near 373.

Traders can go short for a turn at 373, risk a close over 380.6 for = two days=20 in a row.

* Traders should go long if a close over 350.3 occurs. =

 

Dec. Silver recommended position long at 502.5 and = 513.5

On the DownSide: Support is at 495.5 and 493.5 then 487.5 Traders = can go=20 long at 487.5 risk a close under 478 for three days in a row. Below that = good=20 buyers should appear at 462.

On the Upside. Nearby Resistance is at 509 to 511, a close = over 511=20 is friendly for another test of 515 and eventually the 523 region. A = close over=20 523 augurs for a test of 548. Beyond an eventual test of 550 then 565 is = likely.

Trade Accordingly.

The Exciting Energies

Traders should prepare for a moderate rise in prices in the Oil = Complex=20 during

The last week of November into the first Part of December.=20

Jan Crude

Nearby Support is at 1368 and 1357, traders can buy at 1357, = risk a=20 close under 1332 for three days in a row. Below that support is at 1319 = to 1308=20 where Buyers should support the mkt. Traders can buy at 1319 a hold for = higher=20 prices.

Resistance is at 1407 and 1414 to 1421 day traders can sell = an early=20 rally this week for a turn lower at 1418 risk 30 pts. However a close = over 1421=20 augurs for a test of 1444 and most likely the 1453 to 1459 region. = Beyond that=20 resistance is near 1467 and 1484 to 1496. A close over 1496 is bullish = for a=20 test of 1529 to 1535 and eventually 1556 then 1569. Trade Accordingly =

* Traders should go long if a close over 1421 = occurs.

Jan Unleaded Gas

Support is at 4150. A close indicates a test of 4082 to = 4050.=20 Traders can buy at

4060 for a good bounce, risk a close under 4040 for three days in a = row.=20 Below that support is at 3990 and 3855 to 3815. traders can buy at 3815 = and hold=20 for higher prices.

Early Resistance is at 4171, a close over augurs for a test = of 4250=20 and 4355. A close over 4355 is friendly and indicates a test of 4480, = beyond=20 that resistance is at 4615 and 4655, Traders can go short at 4655 for a = turn=20 lower, risk a close over 4775 for three days in a row. Beyond that 4825 = to 4855=20 offers good resistance,

Trade Accordingly.

Jan Heating Oil

Support is at 3890 and 3855. Traders should buy at 3865. = Risk a=20 close under 3840 for three days in a row. Below that support should = appear at=20 3805 and 3715 to 3682 Traders should can go long at 3685, risk a close = under=20 3610 for three days in a row.

Early Resistance is at 3982 to 4002 and 4055. A close over = 4055=20 augurs for a test of 4110 then 4163. A close over 4163 is friendly and = indicates=20 a rally towards the 4400
region is likely. Beyond that resistance is = at=20 4650, traders can go short at 4650, risk a close over 4717 for three = days in a=20 row.

 

The Grande Grains

 

January Soybeans

Early Support is at 573 1/2 below that good buyer should appear = at 568=20 1/2. Traders can buy at 573 1/2, for a good bounce, risk a close under = good=20 support at 568 for three days in a row. Below that support is at 565 3/4 = and 555=20 1/2. Traders can buy at 555 3/4 for a turn higher, Risk a close under = 549 for=20 three days in a row.

Resistance is at 582 1/4 to 583 1/2. A close over 583 1/2 augurs = for a=20 test of the 595 to 596 region. Beyond that a test of 610. Beyond that = sellers=20 should appear at 619 1/2 traders can go short at 619 for a turn lower, = risk a=20 close over 627 for three days in a row.

Buy this Dip.

* Traders should go long if a close over 580 1/2=20 occurs.

Dec. Soybean Meal

Support is near 146.7 then 143.2 and 142.0 to 141.5 Traders = can go=20 long at 146.5 Risk a close under 141.5 for three days in a row.=20 Resistance is at 148.8, a close over 149 is friendly and augurs = for a=20 test of 158 beyond that good sellers should appear at 161. Traders can = go short=20 at 161, risk a close over 167 for three days in a row. =

* traders should go long if a close over 149 occurs..

Dec. Soybean Oil Recommended position long at 2469

Support is at 2442. Below that Support should appear near = the 2419=20 to 2411 region.

Below that 2376 to 2365 should hold.

Resistance is at 2461 to 2465 and 2481.

A close over 2465 augurs for a test of 2511 to 2519. Beyond that a = test of=20 2536 is likely. A close over 2541 is friendly and augurs for a test of = 2552 to=20 2575. Traders can sell short at 2575, risk a close over 2612 for three = days in a=20 row.

Dec. Corn.

Support is at 219 3/4 to 218 1/2, below that support is at = 215 1/2=20

Traders can go long at 219 3/4 risk a close under 215 for three days = in row.=20

Below that support is at 210 1/2.

Resistance is at 222 and 224 3/4 to 225 1/2. A close over = 225 1/2=20 indicates at test of the 230 region. Beyond that a trade to 235 is = likely.=20 Traders can short at 235, risk a close under 237 for three days in a = row.=20

Dec. Wheat

Support is at 286 3/4 to 285 1/4. Aggressive traders can buy at = 287 1/4,=20 risk a close under 285. Below that support is at 281 1/4 and 277 to 275 = where a=20 break should contain it self.. Traders can go long at 276, risk a close = under=20 268 for three days in a row.

Nearby Resistance is at 289 3/4 and 2931/4. A close over 293 = 1/4=20 augurs for a test of 297 1/2 then the 299 to 301 region. A close above = 302 is=20 friendly for a test of 308. Beyond that a test of 314 and 317 is likely. = Traders=20 can go short at 317 for a turn lower, risk a close over 322 for two days = in a=20 row. Try buy a dip this week

*Traders should go long if a close over 293 1/4 = occurs.

The Satisfying Softs
March Cotton =

Support is at 6645 and the 6600 region. Under that a decline to = 6553 and=20 6510 should hold. Traders can Buy at 6510 for a turn higher, risk a = close under=20 6480 for three days in a row.

Resistance is 6700 and 6745 then 6795. A close over 6745 = augurs for=20 a test of 6890. Traders can go long I a close over 6745 occurs Beyond = that=20 resistance at 6979 to 7003. Traders should go short at 7003 for a turn = lower,=20 risk a close over 7090 for three days in a row.

March. Sugar

Support is at 831 and 832 to 819. Traders can buy at 823, = risk a=20 close under 907 for two days in a row. Below that support is at 795 to = 791 and=20 784. Traders can go long at 784 for a turn higher, risk a close under = 763 for=20 two days in a row.

Resistance is at 847 to 852 and 859. Beyond that sellers = should=20 appear near 877 to 882. A close over 882 augurs for a test of 907 to = 912,=20 traders can sell short at 907, risk a close over 922 for three days in = row.=20 Trade accordingly

March Coffee:

On the downside, Early support is at 110.10 and = 109.60 then=20 108.90 to 108.20. Well Heeled Traders should take a shot and buy at = 110.20 or=20 better, risk a close under support at 107.70 for three days in a row. = Below that=20 support is at 106.80 and 105.80, Below that 103.60 to 103.00 should = hold.=20 Traders should buy at 103.60 and Hold...

On the Upside, Early Resistance is at 111.45 and 113.00 to = 113.95. A=20 close over 113.60 augurs for a test of the 116.40 to 116.90 region. = Beyond that=20 a push to the 119.20 / 120.30 region is likely. Above that traders can = Go Short=20 at 123.80, risk a close over 124.40 for three days in a row. Beyond that = resistance should be firm at 126.80 to 127.40.

March Cocoa

Support is at 1511 to = 1505 and 1496=20 to 1484. Traders can Buy at 1511, risk a close under 1484 for three days = in a=20 row. Under that support should appear near the 1459 to 1453 region. = Where it=20 should Hold.

Resistance is at 1529 to 1535. A close over 1535 augurs for = a test=20 of 1561 Beyond that 1569 to 1576 offers resistance. A close over 1576 = augurs for=20 an eventual test of 1609 to 1615 beyond that 1642 to 1655 should cap a = rally.=20 Traders can go short at 1642, risk a close over 1655 for three days in a = row.=20

**Traders should go long if a close over 1535 occurs.

 

The Lively Livestock

Dec. Cattle Recommended = position long=20 at 6417

Support is at 6357 and 6332 to 6322. Below buyers should = appear at=20 6297, traders can go long / add at 6297, risk a close under 6252 for two = days in=20 a row on all positions. Under that support should appear at 6182 to = 6157.=20

Resistance is at 6417 to 6432. Beyond that resistance should = appear at=20 6452. A close over 6452 is friendly and indicates a test of 6577. A = close over=20 6577 augurs for an eventual test of 6707 and 6742. Beyond that a test of = 6812 is=20 likely.

* Traders should go long if a close over 6577 = occurs.

Dec. Hogs

Support is at 3102 to 3097. Traders should Go long at 3102 = and risk=20 a close under 3057 for three days in a row. Below that 2990 to 2972 = should=20 hold.

Resistance is at 3327 and 3400 to 3422. A close over 3422 is = augurs=20 for a test of 3500 and eventually 3622

Recommended Spread Long 5 Feb. Hogs, Short 5 April
-135 Feb. = under=20 April.

Feb. hogs Recommended position long 4 at 4302 avg.

Support is at 3927 to 3907 and 3820 to 3807.

Resistance is at 3992 and 4050. A close over 4057 is = friendly and=20 augurs for a test of for a test of 4097 and 4157. Beyond that 4187 = offers=20 resistance. A close over 4187 is friendly and augurs for a test of 4307. =

April Hogs

Early Resistance is at 4397 to 4427, day traders can short = an early=20 rally at 4427

risk 50 pts. However a close over 4402 is friendly and augurs for a = test of=20 4522.

Traders should go long if a close over 4402 occurs..

Support is at 4327 to 4302, below that 4267 should trade, under = that=20 buyers should appear near 4227 then 4182 and 4167 to 4152.

--From the Frying Pan into the Fire--

Feb. Bellies recommended = position long 4=20 at 4845.

Support is at 4507 / 4502 and 4427 below that support is at 4277 = and=20 4207. Under that 3982 should contain a decline..

Resistance is at 4517 and 4522. Beyond that resistance is at = 4577. A=20 close over 4522 is friendly and augurs for an eventual rally to 4727. A = close=20 over 4727 is friendly and indicates another test of 4802 and 4857. A = close over=20 4857 augurs for a test of 5022. Beyond that a test of 5072 then 5292 is = likely.=20 Beyond that 5587 to 5627 should trade.

* Traders should go long / add if a close over 4522 occurs,,,

Patience...-Stay tuned for Updates in the Meat Complex.- =

 

The Sensational Stock and Bond Markets =

Dec. Bonds

On The DownSide, early support is at 127-10, traders can go long at  127-10 , risk a close under 126-10 for three days in a row. Under that suppor is at 126-07 and 125-29 Below that 125-10 should hold.

On the Upside: Resistance is at 127-27 and 127-29. A close  over 127-29 augurs for a test of the 128-10 region. Beyond that Resistance is a 129-09 to 129-10 and 129-16 Traders can go short at 129-16 ,risk a close ove130-20 for three days in a row.

Dec. SP500

On the DownSide, Support is at 1132.70 and 1130. A close = under=20 1130 augurs for a test of 1126.80 and 1124.20. Below that 1122.50 offers = support, a close under 1122.50 is negative and augurs for a test of = 1115.0 and=20 eventually 1105.10, below that support should hold at 1101.20, traders = can buy=20 at 1101.20 for a bounce.. stay tuned for the stop. Under that the = 1098.50 to=20 1096 region hold basis the close. If not, good support should appear at = 1075.10=20 and 1068 An extended slip under 1068 augurs for a test of 1063 then 1060 = to=20 1058, Traders can go long for a bounce at 1060, and stay tuned for the = stop..=20 Below that 1052 should stop a break..

On the Upside, Resistance is at 1133.50 and the 1136 to = 1137,20=20 region which should cap an early rally for a bit. Traders can sell short = at=20 1137.20. Initially Plan on Risking a close over 1136 for three days in a = row.=20 Beyond that 1150 and 1165 to 1169 offer good resistance. Traders should = sell=20 short at 1168.50 and hold for lower prices... Beyond that 1182 to 1203 = should=20 bring out sellers...traders with Ice Water running through their veins = should go=20 short at 1194.60 and Hold..

Stay Tuned for SP500 Updates and Flashes .

A close under 1130 is negative, traders should sell short if a close = under=20 1130 occurs.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average

Support is 8914, a slip under 8914 augurs for a test of the 8871 = to 8854=20 region, below that 8833 needs to hold basis the close for upward = momentum to=20 continue..

A close under 8833 is negative and indicates a slip towards the 8777 = to 8762=20 region below that support is at 8742, a close under 8742 augurs for a = test of=20 good support near 8708 and 8683 to 8668. However a close under 8668 = augurs for a=20 test of 8589 to 8577 then 8594 where it should hold basis the close if a = good=20 decline occurs.

Resistance should first appear at 8934 to 8964.40 / 8966 and = 9004.20, above that 9044 to 9060 and 9083, a close over 9083 augurs for = a test=20 of 9140 to 9156 where good sellers should appear .. Beyond that 9254 and = 9316 to=20 93347 should cap a rally..

A ship in Harbor is Safe.. But that's not what ships are built=20 for.

Happy Trading

Bill


Saturday
 Nov. 14 1998

9:05 PM

Copyright@1998 FuturesCom Investment Publications

All Rights Reserved

FuturesCom is Not Responsible for Transmission Errors and Omissions.

THIS PUBLICATION CONTAINS THE VIEW AND OPINIONS OF THE AUTHOR, EXCEPT = WHERE=20 OPINIONS ARE ATTRIBUTED TO OTHER SOURCES. WRITTEN PERMISSION IS. = REQUIRED PRIOR=20 TO ANY DISTRIBUTION OR REPRODUCTION. FUTURES TRADING IS RISKY AND CAN = CAUSE=20 SUBSTANTIAL FINANCIAL LOSS. THE USE OF OPTIONS AND OPTION TRADING = INVOLVES A=20 HIGH DEGREE OF RISK. THE USE OF STOPS MAY NOT LIMIT LOSSES TO INTENDED = AMOUNTS.=20 SPREAD POSITIONS MAY NOT BE LESS RISKY THAN OUTRIGHT FUTURES POSITIONS. = PAST=20 RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. SOURCES ARE = BELIEVED=20 TO BE RELIABLE BUT NO ASSURANCE IS MADE FOR ACCURACY. ADDITIONAL RISK = DISCLOSURE=20 IS AVAILABLE.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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