FuturesCom's 8-4-1997 Morning Comments
Forex ...Precious Metals ...Energies....Grains...Softs...Livestock...Bonds..SP500
THIS PUBLICATION CONTAINS THE VIEW AND OPINIONS OF THE AUTHOR, EXCEPT WHERE OPINIONS ARE ATTRIBUTED TO OTHER SOURCES. WRITTEN PERMISSION IS. REQUIRED PRIOR TO ANY DISTRIBUTION OR REPRODUCTION. FUTURES TRADING IS RISKY AND CAN CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL FINANCIAL LOSS. THE USE OF OPTIONS AND OPTION TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK. THE USE OF STOPS MAY NOT LIMIT LOSSES TO INTENDED AMOUNTS. SPREAD POSITIONS MAY NOT BE LESS RISKY THAN OUTRIGHT FUTURES POSITIONS. PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. SOURCES ARE BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE BUT NO ASSURANCE IS MADE FOR ACCURACY. ADDITIONAL RISK DISCLOSURE IS AVAILABLE Sunday August 3rd 1997 for Monday August 4th 3:00 PM EST
On the Frenzied Forex Front
Sept. J-Yen
Recommended Position Long at 8566
Nearby Resistance is at 8500 to 8506 , an extended trade or close over
8506 augurs for a pop to 8560 then 8583.More Resistance remains 8651 where
short term traders can exit & sell for a turn, risk a close over 8683
or 50 pts. However a rally to 8762 should also be sold , risk a close over
8808 Agressive traders can Buy for a bounce at 8400, risk a trade under
8381. a close Beyond that augurs for a slip to 8356 where buyers should
have orders resting for a long position . Risk a close under 8300.
Trade Accordingly.
Sept. Swiss Franc
Nearby Support will appear at 6571/6577 where
traders can buy, with Both Hands for a bounce, risk 30 pts. Below that
6530 offers some support. Resistance is at 6612 then 6621 and 6671 sell
there for a quick turn , risk 15 pts. Above that 6691 offers res. Above
that 6741 should trade.
Sept. British Recommended Position
Long at 164.20
Early Support is near 162.22 then 161.50 and 160.90
where longs can be established for a bounce , risk 100 pts Resistance is
near 163.18 , above that 164.20 , a close over that augurs for a pop to
164.60 then 165.50.
Sept. D-Mark .
Resistance should appear near 5418 then 5422. Beyond
that 5442 then 5472. The 5504 region offers traders a place to short for
a turn, risk a close over 5510, A close over 5510 augurs for a thrust to
5548 then 5577 where resistance remains. Eventually a rally back to 5619
should occur. A close over 5473 would indicate this. Support is near 5372
then 5356 where Buyers should go long for the 'pull' into Sept. Stay tuned
and Trade Accordingly.
Precious Metals
December Gold Recommended Position
Long at 328.80
Resistance is near 330.00 a close over augurs
for a test 332 then 338. A close over 333 augurs for test of 341 then 345..Where
Sellers can short the 'Yellow Metal' for a turn and risk a close over 349
for two days in a row. Support should appear at 327.5 then 325.5 with more
at 322.
Sept. Copper Recommended position
long at 110.10 and 106.95
Resistance is near 107.30 , then 107.90 a close
over 108.00 augurs for a test of 109.30 to 110.10. Support is 105.30 and
103.90. Below that below that traders should buy at 103.35 for a good bounce
, risk 150 pts.
Trade Accordingly
Oct. Platinum Recommended position
long at 420
Oct Platinum posted a new Contract High on Friday..and Gave a Weekend
Buy rule..
Support should appear near 437.0 then 432.5.
More support rests near 427 then 422 where traders should buy for a turn
higher risk $3.00 Resistance is near 441.5 . A close over 442 is bullish...For
sa rally to 451
Sept. Silver
Support should appear near 436, traders can buy
for as bounce .More support is near 424 then 419 where long term long term
traders can buy for a position, risk a close under 413 for three days in
a row.Resistance is near 455/ 457 . Beyond that 469offers reistance , sell
at 469 for a turn, risk a close over 476 for two days in a row.
The Exciting Energies
Sept. Crude Oil.
Support is 2007 then 1982 Good Support is near
1973 , below that 1925- where traders can buy for a turn higher. Below
that 1877 should hold and be bought, risk a close under 1858 for three
days in a row. Resistance is near 2020 then 2028/ 2032, beyond that 2057
anfd 2070 offer res. sell at 2070 for a turn lower , risk a trade over
2077. More Resistance is near 2088. A close over 2088 augurs for a thrust
to 2170 and beyond.
Sept Unleaded
Support is near 6435 More Support is near 6335
then 6230, Below that 6140 then 5835 where traders should have buy orders
resting for a turn higher , risk 100 pts. Resistance is near 6530 then
6635 beyond that 6780 offers a selling region....
Sept Heating Oil.
Support near 5625 then 5525 , below that 5490 is likely to trade. down below at 5290 is where traders can buy for a turn higher and risk a close under 5190 for three days in a row.Resistance is at 5720 Where traders can sell for a turn, risk 150pts. More Resistance is near 5800 then 5840. Sell at 5845 for a turn and risk a close over 5930 for two days in a row. Stay Tuned
Trade Accordingly
The ‘Grande’ Grains
August Beans
Sellers should appear at 775 3/4 , above that 781 3/4
. Additionally 789 to 791 3/4 offers good resistance sell at 791 3/4 for
a quick turn for a quick turn lower risk a close over 803 1/2. A close
over 804 augurs for a test of 823 then 854.
Support is near 754 then 748. Good Support is near 745, buy there for a
bounce. More support hould appear at 734 to 730, Buy at 734 1/4 risk a
close under 722 for three days in a row.
November Beans Recommended Position
Short at 645.
Resistance is near 659 3/4 to 660 1/2, sell short
at 659 risk 7 cents.Beyond that 673 3/4 offers sellers as well as 687.
Support is at 651 and 646 1/2 , below that 633 is likely to trade. a close
under 631 would indicate a slip to 625 to 617...
A close under 651 is negative.
Dec Soybean Meal Recommended
Positon Short at 208
risk a close over 214.8
Support is near 214. then 212 and 208.5
Resistance is near 21then 220
A close under 214 is negative...
Dec Soybean Oil
Nearby Support is near 2263 then 2219 Resistance
is near 2304 With Good sellers at 2340 and 2363. Beyond that region ,Sell
short at 2411 risk a close over 2461 for three days in a row.
Sept Corn
Resistance is near 269 1/4 Then 274 where Hedgers
should sell 'till the Cows come home'.Traders should sell at 273 risk 4
cents. Support is at 265 1/2 and 264.
A close under 264 is negative.
December Wheat
Resistance is near 378 then 384 above that, sell
at 388 for a turn, risk a close over 393 for three days in a row. Above
that 404 should trade. Support is near 373 3/4 then 371, below that 365
should trade..
A close under 373 3/4 is negative....
Trade Accordingly
The Satisfying Softs
October Cotton
Support is near 7450 below that 7380 is where traders can
cover/buy for a bounce, use a stop close under 7305 for 3 days in a row.
Resistance should appear near 7550 then 7625
October Sugar
Support is near 1163 , below that 1152 to 1149,
where traders can buy for a bounce, risk a close under 1141 for three days
in a row. Resistance is near 1178 then 1192 where traders can sell for
a turn, risk a close over 1203 for three days in a row.
September the' Monster' Coffee Recommended
position Short at 189.30
Support is near 183.80,a close/trade under augurs for a test of 181.10
below that 178.00 , a close under 181.10 augurs for a slip to 175.60 then
173.80 buy there for a bounce,stay tuned. Good Support is near 169.60 then
167.00. Buy at 165.50 for the 'pull', risk a close under 162.05 for three
days in a row. Resistance is near 186.80 then 188.85 to 189.50. More resistance
is near 190.55 then 194.55 , beyond that 205.10. 'Hearty' traders can sell
at 204.20, risk a close over 205.5 for three days in a row.
A close under 181.10 is negative.
Have your' Steel Cup' Ready
November Orange Juice Recommended
position long at 77.25
Resistance is near 7850 then 7915, a close over
7850 augurs for a test of 8120. Support is near 76.30 buy there for a turn
higher , risk 100 pts. Below that 7350 offers mild support.
Friendly
Sept Cocoa Recommended Position
Long at 1535
Support is near 1484, buy at 1484, risk a close
under 1451 for three days in a row. Below that a slip to 1436 iis likely.
Resistance is at 1522 then 1536 and 1569 Beyond that 1597. Exit longs /
Go short for a turn at 1607, risk a close over 1615 for three days in a
row.
Trade Accordingly.
Sept Lumber
Support is near 345.80 to 345.40 then 343.30 .
Below that 337 offers some support.Resistance is near 348.30 beyond that
350.40. Above that 356 offers resistance.
The Lively Livestock
Oct Cattle:
Nearby Support is at 6980 where traders should
buy for a bounce risk a trade under 6917. Resisitance is near 7082 then
7125 where one should sell for a turn, risk a trade over 7177.
August Feeder Cattle Recommended
Position Long at 8142
Support is at 8107 then 8055 .Beneath that 8047
is where traders should have buy orders waiting to go long, risk a close
under 7987 for three days in a row. Resistance is near 8207 then 8252 above
that sell at 8280 and risk a close over 8357 beyond that a test of 8397
then 8447 is likely.
Trade Accordingly .
August Hogs
Nearby support is at 8167 then 8057 a close under
8162 augurs for a slip to 8080 then 7957 where traders can buy for a bounce,
risk 75 pts. Resistance is near 8237, then 8262 . If a sharp rally occurs
8312 offers resistance and a place where traders should sell for a turn,
risk a close over 83362 for three days in a row.
October Hogs Recommended Position
Short at 7450 and 7550
Risk a close over 7602 for three days in a row
Nearby Resistance is at 75.82 then 7502. . Support is at 7532 then 7497.
Below that 7450. A close under 7480 augurs for a test of 7340.
Trade Accordingly.
August Bellies Recommended
position Short 4 avg 8110
Support is near 8712then 8467 , a close under
8742 augurs for a slip to 8395.
Resistance is near 8972 sell there for a turn lower, risk 100 pts. Above
that 9027 offers Res.
A close under 8700 is negative.
-From the Frying pan into the Fire-
U.S. 30 Year Bonds.
Sept Bonds
Resistance is near 115-19 then 115-30 , sell there
for a turn lower , risk 5 pts.
Nearby Support is 114-19 , below that 113-27 then 113-22 to113-19, a close
under 114-19 augurs for a test of 113-22, a close under 113-22 is negative
.for a move to 109-15.
Trade Accordingly
Standard and poor's SP 500 Index
Sept SP500 Recommended postion
Short at 943.65
On the Downside, Early and critical support is
948.154 below that 943.60 then 941.20 a close under 948.15 augurs for a
pullback to the 928.05 region. Any trade under 948 for any length of time
indicates a pull back to 944.50. then 942.60 and evenmtually 941.20
On the Upside, Resistance is firm at 954.20 , above that 958.35, then 960.15,
beyond that 964.00. Above that ,Sell at 965.15 for a turn. Additionally
966.90 offers selling pressure Beyond that 975 is likely to trade.
A close under 957.55 is negative...
Stay Tuned for UpDates
Trade Accordingly.
Happy Trading
Bill
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