Economic and Investment Trend Analysis - Socio Economics - Forex - Bonds - Dow Jones - Nasdaq - SP500 
Precious Metals - Energy - Livestock - Grains - Softs


FuturesCom Investment Publications
Morning Comments Friday January 16th  2004
 
Experienced Since 1979 - Serving Professional and Individual Traders World Wide since 1988
7690 Rockport Circle, Lake Worth, Florida 33467 Tel:
1-561-433-2995 http://www.futurescom.com


The holiday schedule for observance of  martin luther kings birthday is at the end of today's letter 

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  Courage in a Speculator is merely confidence to act on the decision of his mind

Thursday January 15th, 2004
1:45 PM Eastern time  

The Frenzied Forex Front

March Yen
Recommended open position Short at 9427
Support
should appear near 9347 to 9316
Resistance
should appear near  9445 and the 9526 to 9543 region..
BW Traders should go short if a close under 9389 occurs

March Euro Currency (EC)
Recommended open position Short at 12646
Support should appear at  1.2530 and 1.2380 to 1.2320.
Resistance is at 12680 to 12740 

March
Swiss Franc
Resistance
should appear near 8194 to 8223 and 8300 to 8314
Support
should appear near 8029 and 7954 to 7939

March British Pound
Support
should appear near 1.8080 and 1.7926
Resistance should appear 1.8220 and 1.8580 to 1.8560.    

March Canadian Dollar
S
upport should appear near 7689 to 7675 .below that a slip to 7601 to 7587 is is likely
Resistance
is at the 7763 to 7777 and the 7836 to 7864 region .

March Aussie Dollar
Support
should appear near 7601 to 7587 .
Resistance should appear at 7675 to 7689 and 7763 to 7777

   The Sensational Stock and Bond Markets

Dow Jones Industrial Average
Resistance
should appear near 10580 to 10630 and 10680
Support should appear near 10470 and 10360 to 10320

March SP500
Recommended Open Position Long at 1126.50
R
esistance
should appear near 1136.00 and 1150.  
Support
should appear near 1130 then 1115.50 and 1101 to 1096, which should hold.. .
BW Traders can buy at 1101.30 for a bounce and risk a close under 1094.7 for three days in a row.

BW Traders should go long if a close over 1136.30  occurs

Nasdaq Composite
Resistance 
should appear near 2126 to 2134. 
Support should appear near 2089 to 2080.

March  Mini Nasdaq 100
Recommended open positin long at 1545.5
Resistance is at 1569 to 1576 
Support is at 1535 to 1529 

March 10 Year T-Note

Resistance
should appear near 114-22 and 115-07
Support is at 114-07 and 113-22

Precious Metals

February Gold
Support
should appear at 405.6 to 404.6 and 392.9 to 390.9 
Resistance
is at  the 311 to 412 and 416.3 to 418.0 

March Copper
Recommended open positin long at 10840
Support should appear near the 1.0680 to 1.0580  region.
Resistance should appear near 10960 to 11010
BW Traders should go long if a close over 11185 occurs.

March Silver
Support
should appear near 619 to 616.5 and 603.5 to 602.5
hould appear near 627 to 625.5 and the 619 to 616.5 region. 
Resistance is at 625.5 to 627 and 633.5 to 637.
--Stay tuned for updates--

The Exciting Energies

March Crude Oil
Support
should appear near 3213 to 3190 and 3157 to 3148 
Resistance
is at 3319 to 3328 and 3377 to 3386 

March Unleaded  Gas
Resistance should appear near 9705 to 9735 and 9920 to 9935
Support should appear near  the 9315 to 9350 and 9235

March Heating Oil
Resistance should appear near 9315 to 9345 and 9525 to 9545
Support
should appear near 9155 to 9140 and the 8965 to 8935 region 

 The Lively Livestock

February Live Cattle
Recommended open position short at 7470
Support should appear near 7692 to 7672 
Resistance
is at 7762 to 7777 and 7837 to 7867.

April Cattle
Recommended open postion short at 7452
Support should appear near  7512 to 7487 and 7427 to 7412
Resistance
is at 7587 to 7602 and 7672 to 7687   
BW Traders can sell at 7672 for a turn lower and risk a close over 7872 for three days in row.

February Lean Hogs
Recommended open position short at 5197
Support is at  5357 to 5342 and 5282 to 5257 
Resistance
is  5417 to 5432 and the  5492 to 5507 region..BW Traders can sell at 5487 and risk a close over  
5587 for three days in a row. Beyond that sellers should be evident near 5637 to 5652

April Hogs
Recommended open position short 2 at 5535 avg

Support
is at 5652 to 5637 and 5577 to 5552 
Resistance is at  5717 to 5732..Beyond that sellers should appear near  the 5792 to 5807 region.. Which should cap a rally for a bit..
BW Traders can sell at 5852 and risk a close over 5962 for three days in a row…
.

February
Pork Bellies
Recommended open postion short at 8385
Support should appear near 8302.  Under that  a test of 8227 to 8192 and the 8047 to 8027  region is likely.. 
Resistance
is at 8392 to 8407 and 8487 to 8502 .

Traders should stay tuned for Updates

 

The Grande’ Grains

March Soybeans
Resistance
is at 839 1/4 to 840 3/4 and 848 1/2 to 849 3/4.
Support
should appear at 831 1/2 to 830 1/4 and the 822 1/4 to 819 1/2 region 

March Soymeal
Support
should appear near 256.8 to 255.2 and 246.9 to 246.1 
Resistance
should appear near 261.2 to 262 and 266.3 to 267.2 

March Soybean Oil
Resistance should appear near the 3036 to 3045 region.
Support
should appear near 2990 to 2972 and 2937 to 2928

March Corn
Resistance
should appear near  271 3/4 to 272 1/2
Support is at  the 262 to 261 1/4

March CBOT Wheat
Support 
should appear near 386 3/4 to 385 3/4 and 380 3/4 to 379 1/2 
Resistance
 should appear near 390 3/4 to 392 3/4 and 398 1/4 to 399 1/4 .

Trade Accordingly and Stay tuned for updates

     

           The Satisfying Softs

March the ‘Monster’ Coffee
Recommended open position long 2 at 7015 avg 
Support is near 6920 to 6905 and 6835 to 6810 
Resistance
should appear near 6990 to 7005 and 7075 to 7090.

March Cocoa 
Recommended open position short at 1605
Support
is at 1576 to 1569 and the 1535 to 1529  region.. 
Resistance
should appear near 1609 to 1612 and 1642 to 1655

March Sugar
Recommended open position short at 580
Support
should appear near 562 to 558
Resistance
should appear near 582 to 586 and 601 to 609 .

March Cotton
Support should
appear near 7430 to 7415 and 7340 to 7320
Resistance
should appear near  7485 to 7515, a close over is friendly an augurs for a test of 7585 to 7605
BW Traders should go long if a close over 7520 occurs

A Ship in Harbor is Safe.. But that is not what ships are built for –  

Happy Trading!  

Bill  wil@futurescom.com

 1-866-409-3890

Thursday January  15, 2004
2 45 PM  South Florida Beach Time

 

THIS PUBLICATION CONTAINS THE VIEW AND OPINIONS OF THE AUTHOR, EXCEPT WHERE OPINIONS ARE ATTRIBUTED TO OTHER SOURCES.  WRITTEN PERMISSION IS REQUIRED PRIOR TO ANY DISTRIBUTION OR REPRODUCTION.  FUTURES TRADING ARE RISKY AND CAN CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL FINANCIAL LOSS.  THE USE OF OPTIONS AND OPTION TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK.  THE USE OF STOPS MAY NOT LIMIT LOSSES TO INTENDED AMOUNTS.  SPREAD POSITIONS MAY NOT BE LESS RISKY THAN OUTRIGHT FUTURES POSITIONS.  PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.  SOURCES ARE BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE BUT NO ASSURANCE IS MADE FOR ACCURACY.  ADDITIONAL RISK DISCLOSURE IS AVAILABLE. 
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FuturesCom Investment Publications Copyright@1996-2004 all rights reserved


Martin Luther King Holiday Schedule

Friday, Jan. 16:
The Bond Market Association has recommended a 2 p.m. EST  close for the U.S.
government securities market. 
  

U.S  stock markets will observe a regular trading schedule. 

CBOT will close its financial contracts at 1 p.m. EST . 
E
lectronic trading for financial and metal contracts will close at 1:30 p.m. EST. 
All other electronic trading closes at normal times. 

C
ME:  commodity, foreign exchange and interest rate  futures will close 
at 1 p.m. EST.
 
Stock index products close at their regularly scheduled times. 

N
YMEX closes at 1 p.m. EST . 

Sunday, Jan. 18: 
CBOT overnight electronic trading will be closed. 
CME GLOBEX electronic trading will begin at its usual time of 6:30 p.m. EST  

Monday, Jan. 19: 
The U.S. government securities market as well as all other bond markets will be closed. 
All U.S. Exchanges
will be closed. 
However CBOT Overnight trading reopens at normal times. GLOBEX trading ends at 11:30 a.m. EST and reopens at 6:30 p.m. EST .  NYMEX closed. ACCESS trading reopens at 7 p.m. EST